WINTHROPICindependent · unaffiliated
batch 2026-09-04 · 11:30 UTC
Cost drift · measured from the daily battery

Correctness drift is interesting. Billing drift is expensive.

Every reading records the tokens each model returned for the same frozen prompts and how long it took. Priced against a dated public table, that is a daily cost for an identical run: the number that moves when a model starts answering longer, or slower, at the same list price. Latest reading 2026-09-04.

Cost per identical run · prices as of 2026-08-31

Billing drift: the same battery, priced every day.

ModelRun costvs previous30 runsPer passed taskTokens in / outp50 latencyTrend
haiku-4-5 $0.0016 0.0% after 30 runs $0.0001 546 / 202 1.21s
sonnet-5 $0.0072 -26.0% after 30 runs $0.0006 692 / 584 1.95s
opus-5 $0.0241 -0.1% after 30 runs $0.0020 692 / 826 2.62s
fable-5 $0.0338 +3.2% after 30 runs $0.0028 692 / 538 3.71s
fable-5-1 $0.0298 +18.0% after 30 runs $0.0025 716 / 453 4.72s

This measures the battery, not your workload. Winthrop's Token Audit does the same arithmetic on your actual usage export. Prices are transcribed by hand and dated; the full table and the per-category record are on /costs.

Pass rate by category · last 5 runs
Modelmathinstructionextractionreasoningclassificationjsoncode
haiku-4-510/1015/205/55/55/55/510/10
sonnet-510/1019/205/55/55/55/510/10
opus-510/1018/205/55/55/54/510/10
fable-54/48/82/22/22/22/24/4
fable-5-14/48/82/22/22/22/24/4

Passed over attempted, summed across the window. This is the evidence base a downgrade recommendation can cite: which model has actually been getting which kind of task right, and for how many days.

Price table · as of 2026-08-31 · USD per million tokens
FamilyMatchesInputOutput
Claude Fable/Mythos 5fable-5|mythos-5$10$50
Claude Opus (4.5+)opus-(5|4-8|4-7|4-6|4-5)$5$25
Claude Opus (4.1 and earlier)opus$15$75
Claude Sonnet 5sonnet-5$2$10
Claude Sonnet (4.x)sonnet$3$15
Claude Haiku 4.5haiku-4-5$1$5
Claude Haiku 3.5haiku-3-5|3-5-haiku$0.8$4
Claude Haiku 3haiku$0.25$1.25

Transcribed by hand from Anthropic's published pricing and dated. This is Winthropic's transcription, not Anthropic's document; it may lag a change. Corrections are appended, never edited in place: /prices.json carries every card. Sonnet 5's launch intro price ($2/$10) was made permanent 2026-08-10; the scheduled 09-01 rise to $3/$15 was cancelled. 4.x Sonnets stay $3/$15.

Data: /api/costs.json. Same page as markdown: /costs.md. Winthropic is not affiliated with Anthropic.